{"id":86017,"date":"2026-02-01T15:31:12","date_gmt":"2026-02-01T19:31:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/antilla-martinique.com\/?p=86017"},"modified":"2026-02-03T06:14:35","modified_gmt":"2026-02-03T10:14:35","slug":"se-forment-les-ouragans-ou-les-typhons-et-deviennent-ils-plus-puissants","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/antilla-martinique.com\/en\/se-forment-les-ouragans-ou-les-typhons-et-deviennent-ils-plus-puissants\/","title":{"rendered":"Comment se forment les ouragans ou les typhons et deviennent-ils plus puissants ?"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure class=\"wp-block-image\">\r\n<figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-9cd5bb24-0 hoFfRa\" data-component=\"video-block\">\r\n<figure class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 laOREU\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 ksFpZh\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-2218ed0c-1 fiqjXZ\">\r\n<div id=\"bbcMediaPlayer0\" class=\"sc-2218ed0c-2 bgTyRA\" data-testid=\"\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-9cd5bb24-0 cmjZrf\" data-component=\"headline-block\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 gmICnp\">\r\n<h3 class=\"sc-f98b1ad2-0 idLnWK\">\u00a0<\/h3>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 gmICnp\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-3adb3607-0 fkltMW\" data-testid=\"byline\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-3adb3607-1 irDEMC\">\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-3adb3607-5 iMnQuR\" data-testid=\"byline-contributors-contributor-0\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-3adb3607-7 echTHp\"><span class=\"sc-3adb3607-8 dcphMW\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Mark Poynting, <\/span><\/span><\/span><span class=\"sc-3adb3607-9 dRohlg\" data-testid=\"byline-contributors-contributor-0-role-location\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">journaliste sp\u00e9cialis\u00e9 dans le climat<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<figure class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 laOREU\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 ciXMDU\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-5340b511-1 cMIbKV\" data-testid=\"hero-image\">\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/figure>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Le typhon Kalmaegi, l&rsquo;un des plus puissants de 2025, a provoqu\u00e9 de graves inondations aux Philippines, o\u00f9 il a fait au moins 114 morts, avant de se diriger vers le Vietnam.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">On ne pense pas que le changement climatique augmente le nombre d&rsquo;ouragans, de typhons et de cyclones dans le monde.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Mais le r\u00e9chauffement des oc\u00e9ans, conjugu\u00e9 \u00e0 celui de l&rsquo;atmosph\u00e8re \u2013 aliment\u00e9 par le changement climatique \u2013 risque d&rsquo;intensifier encore davantage les temp\u00eates qui se forment d\u00e9j\u00e0. Cela pourrait entra\u00eener des vents plus forts, des pr\u00e9cipitations plus abondantes et un risque accru d&rsquo;inondations c\u00f4ti\u00e8res.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<ul class=\"sc-6f869981-0 diUlgm\">\r\n<li class=\"sc-734a601e-0 cRgahm\"><a class=\"sc-f9178328-0 kgTYQp\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/articles\/c62e0764e6qo\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Les Philippines d\u00e9clarent l&rsquo;\u00e9tat de catastrophe naturelle alors que le bilan des victimes du typhon s&rsquo;\u00e9l\u00e8ve \u00e0 114 morts.<\/span><\/span><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li class=\"sc-734a601e-0 cRgahm\"><a class=\"sc-f9178328-0 kgTYQp\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/live\/cz7pg0rlw4pt\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">EN DIRECT : Suivez les derni\u00e8res informations sur le typhon Kalmaegi<\/span><\/span><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 fAzFNb\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-218230f8-1 hGiAZc\" data-testid=\"ad-unit\" data-component=\"ad-slot\">\r\n<div id=\"dotcom-mid_1\" class=\"dotcom-ad active\" data-testid=\"dotcom-mid_1\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\r\n<div class=\"dotcom-ad-inner\">\r\n<div class=\"dotcom-ad-text-wrapper\"><span class=\"dotcom-ad-text\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">PUBLICIT\u00c9<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"dotcom-slot-mid_1\" class=\"dotcom-slot\" data-google-query-id=\"COWwwtLRsJIDFcmUywEd1Q4Lyg\">\r\n<div id=\"google_ads_iframe_\/4817\/bbccom\/news\/asia\/article\/mid_0__container__\">\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 gmICnp\">\r\n<h2 class=\"sc-f98b1ad2-0 gXmhTb\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Que sont les ouragans et o\u00f9 se produisent-ils ?<\/span><\/span><\/h2>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Les ouragans sont des temp\u00eates puissantes qui se forment dans les eaux chaudes des oc\u00e9ans tropicaux.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Dans certaines <\/span><\/span><b id=\"\" class=\"sc-d16436d-0 gnUCoQ\"> <\/b><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">r\u00e9gions du monde, on les appelle cyclones ou typhons. Collectivement, ces temp\u00eates sont d\u00e9sign\u00e9es sous le terme de \u00ab cyclones tropicaux \u00bb.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<figure class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 laOREU\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 gmICnp\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-5340b511-1 cMIbKV\" data-testid=\"image\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sc-5340b511-0 hLdNfA\" src=\"https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/480\/cpsprodpb\/44f6\/live\/70524a50-b406-11f0-b2a1-6f537f66f9aa.png.webp\" alt=\"Graphique illustrant les trajectoires des cyclones tropicaux de 1842 \u00e0 2024. Ces temp\u00eates sont appel\u00e9es ouragans dans l'Atlantique et le Pacifique Nord-Est, typhons dans le Pacifique Nord-Ouest et cyclones dans le Pacifique Sud-Ouest et l'oc\u00e9an Indien.\" \/><\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/figure>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 fAzFNb\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-218230f8-1 hGiAZc\" data-testid=\"ad-unit\" data-component=\"ad-slot\">\r\n<div id=\"dotcom-mid_2\" class=\"dotcom-ad active\" data-testid=\"dotcom-mid_2\" data-ad-slot=\"{}\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\r\n<div class=\"dotcom-ad-inner\">\r\n<div id=\"dotcom-slot-mid_2\" class=\"dotcom-slot\" data-google-query-id=\"CLy9ndPRsJIDFf6DAwgd95oOjA\">\r\n<div id=\"google_ads_iframe_\/4817\/bbccom\/news\/asia\/article\/mid_1__container__\">\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Les cyclones tropicaux se caract\u00e9risent par des vents tr\u00e8s violents, des pluies torrentielles et <\/span><\/span><a class=\"sc-f9178328-0 iCaRzc\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/weather\/articles\/c33v83448d4o\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">des ondes de temp\u00eate<\/span><\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"> (\u00e9l\u00e9vations soudaines du niveau de la mer). Ces ph\u00e9nom\u00e8nes provoquent souvent des d\u00e9g\u00e2ts consid\u00e9rables et des inondations.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Les ouragans peuvent \u00eatre class\u00e9s selon leur vitesse de vent maximale soutenue.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Les ouragans majeurs sont class\u00e9s en cat\u00e9gorie trois et plus, ce qui signifie qu&rsquo;ils atteignent au moins 111 mph (178 km\/h).<\/span><\/span><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<figure class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 laOREU\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 gmICnp\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-5340b511-1 cMIbKV\" data-testid=\"image\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sc-5340b511-0 hLdNfA\" src=\"https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/480\/cpsprodpb\/a328\/live\/ccde9220-b405-11f0-aa13-0b0479f6f42a.png.webp\" alt=\"Graphique expliquant l'\u00e9chelle de Saffir-Simpson des ouragans. La cat\u00e9gorie 1, avec des vents soutenus de 119 km\/h, peut causer des d\u00e9g\u00e2ts mineurs et des coupures de courant\u00a0; la cat\u00e9gorie 2, avec des vents sup\u00e9rieurs \u00e0 154 km\/h, peut causer d'importants d\u00e9g\u00e2ts mat\u00e9riels\u00a0; la cat\u00e9gorie 3, avec des vents sup\u00e9rieurs \u00e0 179 km\/h, peut causer des d\u00e9g\u00e2ts majeurs, m\u00eame aux maisons les plus robustes\u00a0; la cat\u00e9gorie 4, avec des vents sup\u00e9rieurs \u00e0 209 km\/h, peut causer des d\u00e9g\u00e2ts importants aux maisons les plus robustes\u00a0; et la cat\u00e9gorie 5, avec des vents sup\u00e9rieurs \u00e0 253 km\/h, peut d\u00e9truire de nombreux b\u00e2timents et isoler des communaut\u00e9s.\" \/><\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/figure>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 fAzFNb\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-218230f8-1 hGiAZc\" data-testid=\"ad-unit\" data-component=\"ad-slot\">\r\n<div id=\"dotcom-mid_3\" class=\"dotcom-ad active\" data-testid=\"dotcom-mid_3\" data-ad-slot=\"{}\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\r\n<div class=\"dotcom-ad-inner\">\r\n<div class=\"dotcom-ad-text-wrapper\">\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<div id=\"dotcom-slot-mid_3\" class=\"dotcom-slot\" data-google-query-id=\"CJP1pNTRsJIDFUkFMQYdYFgcTg\">\r\n<div id=\"google_ads_iframe_\/4817\/bbccom\/news\/asia\/article\/mid_2__container__\">\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 gmICnp\">\r\n<h2 class=\"sc-f98b1ad2-0 gXmhTb\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Comment se forment les ouragans ?<\/span><\/span><\/h2>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Les ouragans, les typhons et les cyclones d\u00e9butent par <\/span><\/span><a class=\"sc-f9178328-0 iCaRzc\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nesdis.noaa.gov\/about\/k-12-education\/severe-weather\/how-does-hurricane-form\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">des perturbations<\/span><\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"> atmosph\u00e9riques , comme par exemple une onde tropicale, une zone de basse pression o\u00f9 se d\u00e9veloppent des orages et des nuages.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Lorsque l&rsquo;air chaud et humide s&rsquo;\u00e9l\u00e8ve de la surface de l&rsquo;oc\u00e9an, les vents se mettent \u00e0 tourbillonner. Ce ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne est li\u00e9 \u00e0 l&rsquo;influence de la rotation de la Terre sur les vents dans les r\u00e9gions tropicales proches de l&rsquo;\u00e9quateur.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<ul class=\"sc-6f869981-0 diUlgm\">\r\n<li class=\"sc-734a601e-0 cRgahm\"><a class=\"sc-f9178328-0 kgTYQp\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/extra\/cfpor50x14\/Hurricanes\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Ouragans : Au c\u0153ur des temp\u00eates meurtri\u00e8res<\/span><\/span><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Pour qu&rsquo;un ouragan se d\u00e9veloppe et continue de tourner, la temp\u00e9rature de la surface de la mer doit g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement \u00eatre d&rsquo;au moins 27\u00b0C pour fournir suffisamment d&rsquo;\u00e9nergie, et les vents ne doivent pas varier beaucoup avec l&rsquo;altitude.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Si tous ces facteurs se conjuguent, un ouragan intense peut se former, m\u00eame si les causes exactes de chaque temp\u00eate sont complexes.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<figure class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 laOREU\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 gmICnp\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-5340b511-1 cMIbKV\" data-testid=\"image\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sc-5340b511-0 hLdNfA\" src=\"https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/480\/cpsprodpb\/fe82\/live\/a2ad2de0-b405-11f0-b2a1-6f537f66f9aa.png.webp\" alt=\"Graphique des ingr\u00e9dients g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement n\u00e9cessaires \u00e0 la formation d'un ouragan. Lorsque la temp\u00e9rature de l'eau \u00e0 la surface de l'oc\u00e9an d\u00e9passe 27 degr\u00e9s Celsius, l'air chaud et humide s'\u00e9l\u00e8ve, cr\u00e9ant ainsi une zone de basse pression. Au large, cela peut engendrer des vents tourbillonnants autour de cette d\u00e9pression.\" \/><\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/figure>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 fAzFNb\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-218230f8-1 hGiAZc\" data-testid=\"ad-unit\" data-component=\"ad-slot\">\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 gmICnp\">\r\n<h2 class=\"sc-f98b1ad2-0 gXmhTb\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Les ouragans sont-ils devenus plus violents ?<\/span><\/span><\/h2>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">\u00c0 l\u2019\u00e9chelle mondiale, la fr\u00e9quence des cyclones tropicaux n\u2019a pas augment\u00e9 au cours du si\u00e8cle dernier, et leur <\/span><\/span><a class=\"sc-f9178328-0 iCaRzc\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41558-022-01388-4\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">nombre a m\u00eame pu diminuer<\/span><\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"> \u2013 bien que les donn\u00e9es \u00e0 long terme soient limit\u00e9es dans certaines r\u00e9gions.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Mais il est \u00ab probable \u00bb qu\u2019une plus grande proportion de cyclones tropicaux \u00e0 travers le monde aient atteint la cat\u00e9gorie trois ou plus au cours des quatre derni\u00e8res d\u00e9cennies, ce qui signifie qu\u2019ils atteignent les vitesses de vent les plus \u00e9lev\u00e9es, selon l\u2019organisme des Nations Unies sur le climat, <\/span><\/span><a class=\"sc-f9178328-0 iCaRzc\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/ar6\/wg1\/downloads\/report\/IPCC_AR6_WGI_Chapter11.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">le GIEC<\/span><\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"> .<\/span><\/span><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<figure class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 laOREU\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 gmICnp\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-5340b511-1 cMIbKV\" data-testid=\"image\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sc-5340b511-0 hLdNfA\" src=\"https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/480\/cpsprodpb\/b4e9\/live\/a1f17ad0-b40c-11f0-ba75-093eca1ac29b.png.webp\" alt=\"Graphique illustrant l'augmentation du nombre d'ouragans de cat\u00e9gorie 3, 4 et 5 dans l'Atlantique Nord. Chaque ouragan est repr\u00e9sent\u00e9 par un point rouge, class\u00e9s par ann\u00e9e et par cat\u00e9gorie. Les ouragans de 2025 \u2013 Melissa, Humberto, Erin et Gabrielle \u2013 sont indiqu\u00e9s \u00e0 droite.\" \/><\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/figure>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 fAzFNb\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-218230f8-1 hGiAZc\" data-testid=\"ad-unit\" data-component=\"ad-slot\">\r\n<div id=\"dotcom-mid_5\" class=\"dotcom-ad active\" data-testid=\"dotcom-mid_5\" data-ad-slot=\"{}\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\r\n<div class=\"dotcom-ad-inner\">\r\n<div class=\"dotcom-ad-text-wrapper\"><span class=\"dotcom-ad-text\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">PUBLICIT\u00c9<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/div>\r\n<div id=\"dotcom-slot-mid_5\" class=\"dotcom-slot\" data-google-query-id=\"CM6r0-PRsJIDFW7P8gcdGagvDA\">\r\n<div id=\"google_ads_iframe_\/4817\/bbccom\/news\/asia\/article\/mid_4__container__\">\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Le GIEC cite un niveau de confiance \u00ab moyen \u00bb quant \u00e0 une augmentation des taux de pr\u00e9cipitations moyens et de pointe associ\u00e9s aux cyclones tropicaux.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">La fr\u00e9quence et l&rsquo;intensit\u00e9 des <\/span><\/span><a class=\"sc-f9178328-0 iCaRzc\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41598-023-42669-y\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">\u00ab \u00e9pisodes d&rsquo;intensification rapide \u00bb dans l&rsquo;Atlantique ont probablement augment\u00e9<\/span><\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"> . Il s&rsquo;agit de ph\u00e9nom\u00e8nes o\u00f9 la vitesse maximale des vents augmente tr\u00e8s rapidement, ce qui peut s&rsquo;av\u00e9rer particuli\u00e8rement dangereux.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Il semble \u00e9galement y avoir un <\/span><\/span><a class=\"sc-f9178328-0 iCaRzc\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-018-0158-3\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">ralentissement de la vitesse de d\u00e9placement des cyclones tropicaux<\/span><\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"> \u00e0 la surface de la Terre. Ce ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne entra\u00eene g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement des pr\u00e9cipitations plus abondantes \u00e0 un endroit donn\u00e9. Par exemple, en 2017, l&rsquo;ouragan Harvey a stagn\u00e9 au-dessus de Houston, d\u00e9versant <\/span><\/span><a class=\"sc-f9178328-0 iCaRzc\" href=\"https:\/\/www.carbonbrief.org\/global-warming-could-be-causing-tropical-stroms-slow-down-last-longer\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">100 cm de pluie en trois jours<\/span><\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"> .<\/span><\/span><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Dans certaines r\u00e9gions, la zone o\u00f9 les cyclones tropicaux atteignent leur intensit\u00e9 maximale s&rsquo;est d\u00e9plac\u00e9e vers les p\u00f4les, par exemple dans le <\/span><\/span><a class=\"sc-f9178328-0 iCaRzc\" href=\"https:\/\/journals.ametsoc.org\/view\/journals\/clim\/29\/16\/jcli-d-16-0076.1.xml\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Pacifique Nord-Ouest<\/span><\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"> . Cela peut exposer de nouvelles communaut\u00e9s \u00e0 ces dangers.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">And <\/span><\/span><a class=\"sc-f9178328-0 iCaRzc\" href=\"https:\/\/www.pnas.org\/doi\/abs\/10.1073\/pnas.1912277116\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">certains \u00e9l\u00e9ments<\/span><\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"> indiquent que l&rsquo;intensification des ouragans aux \u00c9tats-Unis signifie qu&rsquo;ils causent davantage de d\u00e9g\u00e2ts.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<ul class=\"sc-6f869981-0 diUlgm\">\r\n<li class=\"sc-734a601e-0 cRgahm\"><a class=\"sc-f9178328-0 kgTYQp\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/weather\/articles\/cp87g4p73kxo\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">La saison des ouragans de l&rsquo;Atlantique 2024 bat des records malgr\u00e9 une accalmie inattendue.<\/span><\/span><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li class=\"sc-734a601e-0 cRgahm\"><a class=\"sc-f9178328-0 kgTYQp\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/articles\/cp3d71q32w5o\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Pourquoi l&rsquo;ouragan Melissa \u00e9tait-il si dangereux dans les Cara\u00efbes ?<\/span><\/span><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<figure class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 laOREU\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 ksFpZh\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-2218ed0c-1 fiqjXZ\">\r\n<div id=\"bbcMediaPlayer0\" class=\"sc-2218ed0c-2 bgTyRA\" data-testid=\"\">\r\n<div class=\"background\">\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<br \/>\r\n<div class=\"pre_play_layout_container layout\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"holding_image\" src=\"https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/images\/ic\/320x180\/p0g69ljm.jpg\" alt=\"\" \/><\/div>\r\n<div>\r\n<div id=\"smp-ads-buffer-wrapper\" class=\"ads-plugin-bufferWrapper-rYN\">\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-dec3f0fa-0 arsrU\" data-testid=\"cta-play-icon\">\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-dec3f0fa-4 hYGLpl\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-dec3f0fa-2 itSNly\" data-testid=\"cta-duration\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">1:49<\/span><\/span><\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 ksFpZh\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 ksFpZh\">\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<figcaption class=\"sc-536eff7b-0 gnQokQ\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Regardez : Les ouragans aux \u00c9tats-Unis s&rsquo;aggravent-ils ?<\/span><\/span><\/figcaption>\r\n<\/figure>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 fAzFNb\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-218230f8-1 hGiAZc\" data-testid=\"ad-unit\" data-component=\"ad-slot\">\r\n<div id=\"dotcom-mid_6\" class=\"dotcom-ad active\" data-testid=\"dotcom-mid_6\" data-ad-slot=\"{}\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\r\n<div class=\"dotcom-ad-inner\">\r\n<div class=\"dotcom-ad-text-wrapper\">\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<div id=\"dotcom-slot-mid_6\" class=\"dotcom-slot\" data-google-query-id=\"CKKjhunRsJIDFbGGywEdp-c8BQ\">\r\n<div id=\"google_ads_iframe_\/4817\/bbccom\/news\/asia\/article\/mid_5__container__\">\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 gmICnp\">\r\n<h2 class=\"sc-f98b1ad2-0 gXmhTb\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Comment le changement climatique affecte-t-il les ouragans\u00a0?<\/span><\/span><\/h2>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">\u00c9valuer l&rsquo;influence pr\u00e9cise du changement climatique sur chaque cyclone tropical peut s&rsquo;av\u00e9rer complexe en raison de la complexit\u00e9 de ces syst\u00e8mes orageux.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Mais la hausse des temp\u00e9ratures peut affecter ces temp\u00eates de plusieurs fa\u00e7ons.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Premi\u00e8rement, le r\u00e9chauffement des eaux oc\u00e9aniques signifie que les temp\u00eates peuvent emmagasiner davantage d&rsquo;\u00e9nergie, ce qui entra\u00eene des vitesses de vent plus \u00e9lev\u00e9es.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><a class=\"sc-f9178328-0 iCaRzc\" href=\"https:\/\/iopscience.iop.org\/article\/10.1088\/2752-5295\/ad8d02\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Selon une \u00e9tude r\u00e9cente<\/span><\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"> , <\/span><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">les vitesses maximales des vents des ouragans entre 2019 et 2023 ont \u00e9t\u00e9 augment\u00e9es d&rsquo;environ 19 mph (30 km\/h) en moyenne en raison du r\u00e9chauffement des oc\u00e9ans d&rsquo;origine humaine.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Deuxi\u00e8mement, une atmosph\u00e8re plus chaude peut contenir davantage d&rsquo;humidit\u00e9, ce qui entra\u00eene des pr\u00e9cipitations plus intenses.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><a class=\"sc-f9178328-0 iCaRzc\" href=\"https:\/\/iopscience.iop.org\/article\/10.1088\/1748-9326\/aa9ef2\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Selon une estimation,<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"> le changement climatique a rendu les pluies extr\u00eames provoqu\u00e9es par l&rsquo;ouragan Harvey en 2017 environ trois fois plus probables .<\/span><\/span><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<figure class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 laOREU\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 gmICnp\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-5340b511-1 cMIbKV\" data-testid=\"image\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sc-5340b511-0 hLdNfA\" src=\"https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/480\/cpsprodpb\/a70f\/live\/a493c960-b41f-11f0-8d6c-7357788a3999.jpg.webp\" alt=\"Reuters\u00a0: Des arbres tomb\u00e9s et des d\u00e9bris recouvrent une voiture rouge et blanche accident\u00e9e. Une maison, en grande partie intacte, se trouve \u00e0 l'arri\u00e8re-plan.\" \/><span class=\"sc-5340b511-2 jVqbAn\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Reuters<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 gmICnp\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 gmICnp\">\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<figcaption class=\"sc-536eff7b-0 gnQokQ\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Les vents et les pluies de l&rsquo;ouragan Helene en 2024 ont probablement \u00e9t\u00e9 aggrav\u00e9s par le changement climatique, selon les scientifiques du groupe World Weather Attribution.<\/span><\/span><\/figcaption>\r\n<\/figure>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Enfin, le niveau de la mer monte, principalement en raison de la <\/span><\/span><a class=\"sc-f9178328-0 iCaRzc\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/science-environment-65399580\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">fonte des glaciers<\/span><\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"> and <\/span><\/span><a class=\"sc-f9178328-0 iCaRzc\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/science-environment-65317469\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">des calottes glaciaires<\/span><\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"> , et du fait que l&rsquo;eau plus chaude occupe plus d&rsquo;espace. Des facteurs locaux peuvent \u00e9galement intervenir. Ainsi, les ondes de temp\u00eate se produisent sur un niveau de la mer d\u00e9j\u00e0 \u00e9lev\u00e9, <\/span><\/span><a class=\"sc-f9178328-0 iCaRzc\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41467-021-22838-1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">aggravant les inondations c\u00f4ti\u00e8res<\/span><\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"> .<\/span><\/span><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Par exemple, on estime que la hauteur des inondations provoqu\u00e9es par l&rsquo;ouragan Katrina en 2005 \u2014 l&rsquo;une des temp\u00eates les plus meurtri\u00e8res qu&rsquo;ait connues l&rsquo;Am\u00e9rique \u2014 \u00e9tait <\/span><\/span><a class=\"sc-f9178328-0 iCaRzc\" href=\"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007\/s10584-013-1011-1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">de 15 \u00e0 60 %<\/span><\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"> sup\u00e9rieure \u00e0 ce qu&rsquo;elle aurait \u00e9t\u00e9 dans les conditions climatiques de 1900.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Globalement, <\/span><\/span><a class=\"sc-f9178328-0 iCaRzc\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/ar6\/wg1\/downloads\/report\/IPCC_AR6_WGI_Chapter11.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">le GIEC conclut<\/span><\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"> qu&rsquo;il existe une \u00ab grande confiance \u00bb que les activit\u00e9s humaines ont contribu\u00e9 \u00e0 l&rsquo;augmentation des pr\u00e9cipitations associ\u00e9es aux cyclones tropicaux, et une \u00ab confiance moyenne \u00bb qu&rsquo;elles ont contribu\u00e9 \u00e0 l&rsquo;augmentation de la probabilit\u00e9 qu&rsquo;un cyclone tropical soit plus intense.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<ul class=\"sc-6f869981-0 diUlgm\">\r\n<li class=\"sc-734a601e-0 cRgahm\"><a class=\"sc-f9178328-0 kgTYQp\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/articles\/c9w15nggj58o\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Un guide tr\u00e8s simple sur le changement climatique<\/span><\/span><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li class=\"sc-734a601e-0 cRgahm\"><a class=\"sc-f9178328-0 kgTYQp\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/articles\/cy4dgp1p3p1o\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Comment le changement climatique aggrave les vagues de chaleur, les s\u00e9cheresses, les feux de for\u00eat et les inondations<\/span><\/span><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li class=\"sc-734a601e-0 cRgahm\"><a class=\"sc-f9178328-0 kgTYQp\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/articles\/c04gqez4lkyo\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Qu\u2019est-ce que la COP30, la conf\u00e9rence sur le climat, et pourquoi est-elle importante\u00a0?<\/span><\/span><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\">\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 gmICnp\">\r\n<h2 class=\"sc-f98b1ad2-0 gXmhTb\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Comment les ouragans pourraient-ils \u00e9voluer \u00e0 l&rsquo;avenir\u00a0?<\/span><\/span><\/h2>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><a class=\"sc-f9178328-0 iCaRzc\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/ar6\/wg1\/downloads\/report\/IPCC_AR6_WGI_Chapter11.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Selon le GIEC<\/span><\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"> , le nombre de cyclones tropicaux dans le monde ne devrait pas augmenter <\/span><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Mais avec le r\u00e9chauffement climatique, il est \u00ab tr\u00e8s probable \u00bb que les pr\u00e9cipitations et les vents atteignent des vitesses maximales plus \u00e9lev\u00e9es. Cela signifie qu&rsquo;une plus grande proportion d&rsquo;entre eux atteindraient les cat\u00e9gories les plus intenses, les cat\u00e9gories quatre et cinq.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">Plus les temp\u00e9ratures mondiales augmenteront, plus ces changements auront tendance \u00e0 \u00eatre extr\u00eames.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"sc-9cd5bb24-0 lmzibM\" data-component=\"text-block\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-cd6075cf-0 DQtHs\">\r\n<div class=\"sc-82b3c53b-0 IAFLu\">\r\n<h3 class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 eZyhnA\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit\">La proportion de cyclones tropicaux atteignant les cat\u00e9gories quatre et cinq pourrait augmenter d&rsquo;environ 10 % si la hausse des temp\u00e9ratures mondiales est limit\u00e9e \u00e0 1,5 \u00b0C, passant \u00e0 13 % \u00e0 2 \u00b0C et \u00e0 20 % \u00e0 4 \u00b0C, selon le GIEC \u2013 bien que les chiffres exacts soient incertains.<\/span><\/span><\/h3>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/figure>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/figcaption>\r\n<\/figure>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":33,"featured_media":86021,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":"","rank_math_focus_keyword":"","rank_math_title":"","rank_math_description":"","rank_math_canonical_url":"","rank_math_robots":null,"rank_math_facebook_title":"","rank_math_facebook_description":"","rank_math_twitter_title":"","rank_math_twitter_description":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-86017","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-actualite"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/antilla-martinique.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86017","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/antilla-martinique.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/antilla-martinique.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/antilla-martinique.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/33"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/antilla-martinique.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=86017"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/antilla-martinique.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86017\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/antilla-martinique.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/86021"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/antilla-martinique.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=86017"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/antilla-martinique.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=86017"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/antilla-martinique.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=86017"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}